Table 4. Sensitivity analysis of the expected returns for hybrid growers under different scenarios of Bt adoption with 25% reduction in the commodity price.

S.NO

Cost/return components

Hybrid to
Bt hybrid (Rs/ha)

Hybrid to
Bt OPV(Rs/ha)

i

Pesticide savings at 40%

13076

25380

ii

Yield benefits at 48%

35295

438

iii

Sub total (i+ii)

48371

25818

iv

Seed prices

 

 

 

1
2

12004*
6625**

-244
0

v

Net returns (iii-iv)

 

 

 

1
2

36367
41746

26062
25818

The commodity price was taken as the four year average of the national level prices of eggplant during 2000-2004. The sensitivity analysis captures a change in output price from Rs 5,839/metric tons to Rs 4,379/metric tons. The price data was available at http://agmarknet.nic.in/. Symbols *, and ** denote the seed prices at Rs 540/10g and Rs 298/10g respectively. While switching from hybrid to Bt OPV, hybrid growers save Rs 244/ha.

Supported by UNESCO / MIRCEN network